Extreme Weather: Monster Storm Ulmer

Reporting from Harrison NE, 4 PM.

I am on what was supposed to be a leisure trip: my first transcontinental drive from coast to coast, New York to Calfornia and back.  It turns out that I got caught in super storm Ulmer, a monster winter storm.

This morning I started out in Chadron NE, against advice from the locals.  I drove about 20 miles west to  Harrison NE, within a few miles of the Wyoming border.  I was driving 30 miles an hour.  In Harrison the visibility was essentially zero.  A complete white out.  Fortunately I found an open motel with a room.  By now all shops, gas stations, restaurants, etc. were closed.  It’s now 3 hours later. There are 4-foot snow drifts accross highway 20.  And no traffic at all. The winds are fierce.  According to the TV Weather Channel, the wind gusts are over 90 miles per hour: hurricane force.

This storm is immense covering 7 states.  In Nebraska’s panhandle all roads have been closed.  The airport in Denver has been closed since 10AM, 1500 flights were canceled. In Denver hundreds of thousands of homes have lost power.  The wind gusts have knocked a train off a bridge and cars/trucks off the highway.  Take a look at this video:

Truck knocked over in Amarillo TX   by 70 mph cross winds

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Locally, one of the biggest concerns is major loss of cattle.  I had noticed the many cattle ranches driving west through Nebraska.  It is clearly a leading local industry.  However the cattle herds are outside and unprotected.  Moreover it is calving season. While adults can survive this kind of weather, newborn calves can not.  Estimates on TV are that 16,000 – to 80,000 cattle may die.  The Nebraska state governor has make Chinook helicopters available to drop off livestock feed in areas that the ranchers can’t get to.  I found some more info (below) via google:

Blizzards take a terrible toll on livestock. For both humane and economic reasons, stockmen should take necessary precautions in advance of severe winter storms.

MOVE LIVESTOCK, ESPECIALLY YOUNG LIVESTOCK, INTO SHELTERED AREAS. Shelter belts, properly oriented and laid out, provide better protection for range cattle than shed-type shelters, which may cause cattle to overcrowd, leading to overheating and respiratory disorders.

HAUL EXTRA FEED TO FEEDING AREAS before the storm arrives. Storm duration is the largest determinant of livestock losses; if the storm lasts more than 48 hours, emergency feed methods are required. Range cattle are hardy and can survive extreme winter weather providing they have some nonconfining type of shelter from the wind and are able to feed at frequent intervals.

Autopsies of cattle killed by winter storms have shown the cause of death to be dehydration, not cold or suffocation. Because cattle cannot lick enough snow to satisfy their thirst, stockmen are advised to use heaters in water tanks to provide livestock with water and feed after prolonged exposure to winter storm conditions.

 

 

Surpisingly, no one on the weather chanel is talking about the cause of superstorms like Ulmer, in particular climate change.  Here is what I found (but there is much more):

Monster storms more frequent, more severe,  this from Australia!

Are Hurricanes Becoming Stronger and More Frequent?

Hurricanes Likely to Get Stronger & More Frequent: Study

Intense Storms Have Become More Common

Storms are Getting Stronger

The last reference is from NASA.  They explain:

“Storms feed off of latent heat, which is why scientists think global warming is strengthening storms. Extra heat in the atmosphere or ocean nourishes storms; the more heat energy that goes in, the more vigorously a weather system can churn.”

“Already, there is evidence that the winds of some storms may be changing. A study based on more than two decades of satellite altimeter data (measuring sea surface height) showed that hurricanes intensify significantly faster now than they did 25 years ago.”

“There is also evidence that extra water vapor in the atmosphere is making storms wetter. During the past 25 years, satellites have measured a 4 percent rise in water vapor in the air column. In ground-based records, about 76 percent of weather stations in the United States have seen increases in extreme precipitation since 1948. One analysis found that extreme downpours are happening 30 percent more often. Another study found that the largest storms now produce 10 percent more precipitation.”

“William Lau, a scientist at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center, concluded in a 2012 paper that rainfall totals from tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic have risen at a rate of 24 percent per decade since 1988. The increase in precipitation doesn’t just apply to rain. NOAA scientists have examined 120 years of data and found that there were twice as many extreme regional snowstorms between 1961 and 2010 as there were from 1900 to 1960.”

“But measuring a storm’s maximum size, heaviest rains, or top winds does not capture the full scope of its power. Kerry Emanuel, a hurricane expert at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, developed a method to measure the total energy expended by tropical cyclones over their lifetimes. In 2005, he showed that Atlantic hurricanes are about 60 percent more powerful than they were in the 1970s. Storms lasted longer and their top wind speeds had increased by 25 percent. (Subsequent research has shown that the intensification may be related to differences between the temperature of the Atlantic and Pacific oceans.)”

 

Today I could have ended up in a roadside ditch blown off the road while driving on black ice. Whether over-worked police and rescue teams could have responded in time?  Who knows.  Climate change feels up close and threatening.  Stay safe!

 

More on Ulmer now also reported by WaPo here.

Posted in climate change, Environment, Uncategorized | 2 Comments

Oil Giant Takes Climate Change Seriously

This is hilarious:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=34&v=D1BOWxFMT5Q

 

And this is serious:

BY STEVEN MUFSON,  The Washington Post, March 5th

The chief economist of one of the world’s biggest oil companies is urging other companies to take climate change seriously — and sooner rather than later. 

If not, it might be bad for business. 

That’s the warning from BP’s Spencer Dale, who made the rounds in Washington last week explaining the business case for finding a solution for the warming planet.

“All the climate arguments are real, urgent and important,” Dale said in an interview with The Washington Post.

Despite working for one of the world’s biggest producers of fossil fuels, Dale said the longer the world waits to address rising emissions, the more “draconian” the changes in the global economy will have to be.

“How do I run a business, how do I make a business plan if I know that the path I’m on is unstable?” Dale asked.

For a multinational energy firm operating in dozens of countries, that could mean having to scrap assets, Dale said.

The provocative economist spent more than a decade working for the Bank of England before joining the oil giant. At the end of February, Dale led the publication of BP’s annual energy outlook, which is widely anticipated among energy industry followers.

At the center of the report’s most likely scenario for the future is the tension between the pressing need to slash carbon emissions and the growing demand for energy as the global population grows and seeks better livelihoods.

The best way to deal with that, Dale said, is to boost the energy efficiency of buildings and other systems.

Still, in all of BP’s scenarios, oil would still be widely used in 2040. The amount could vary from 80 million barrels a day to 130 million barrels a day — a huge gap. Yet even the low-end scenario would require trillions of dollars of investment just in petroleum over the next 20 years.

Indeed, history shows how hard it has been for societies to move from one form of power production to another, Dale said. Previous energy transitions have taken about four or five decades, he said.

It took almost 45 years, for example, for oil to go from 1 percent of world energy in the late 1800s to 10 percent. It took natural gas more than half a century to catch on.

Renewables will penetrate the global energy system faster than any fuel in history, Dale said, going from 1 percent to 10 percent in just 15 years.

But BP’s analysis suggests that is not fast enough to stem the growth of climate-warming emissions. Even though new renewable energy will satisfy about half of the new energy demand, carbon dioxide emissions are likely to increase by about 10 percent instead of falling sharply as needed to stem climate change.

Overall, global energy demand probably will grow by around a third by 2040, slower than the previous 20 years but still enough to make it difficult to lower greenhouse gas emissions as needed.

Around 80 percent of that increase in demand will come from the developing world, yet a substantial proportion — two-thirds — of the world’s population will still consume low amounts of energy 21 years from now.

BP has said it wants the federal government to take action, having endorsed a $40-a-ton nationwide tax. But that doesn’t mean the company always supports carbon taxes in practice. BP spent more than any other company last year to defeat a carbon-fee ballot initiative in the state of Washington that the company said was “poorly designed.” The proposal ultimately fell short with voters in November.

 

 

Posted in climate change, Environment, Paris Climate Accord, Uncategorized, wind energy | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Spring is Looking Up. March 15 #FridaysForFuture, April 4-23 #DrawdownEcoChallenge

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Students at the Climate March in Washington, DC, April 2017

March 15th. The Ides of March, notable to the ancient Romans for settling debts, as a holy day when sheep were sacrificed, and of course, a day to beware, as a seer warned Julius Cesar.

What is this year’s prophecy? 

Does it appear in hastags?  #FridaysForFuture, #ClimateStrike, #SchoolStrike4Climate, #WhateverItTakes.

Or on twitter?  “The youth are rising and they want their future back” wrote a GreenPeace campaigner.  Or in the forecasting of 16 year old Greta Thunberg, “I want you to panic.  I want you to feel the fear I feel every day.  And then I want you to act.” 

Read all about it, and listen to some very articulate kids, all ages, talk about why they are protesting by skipping school in Playing hooky to save the climate: why students are going on strike, Greta Thunberg’s #FridaysforFuture movement has inspired kids in dozens of countries to demand action on climate change by Umair Irfan of VOX. https://www.vox.com/2019/2/21/18233206/greta-thunberg-student-school-strike-climate-change

I am pleased, thrilled really, that students are transforming into climate activists, organizing with social media, putting skin in the game, so to speak, demonstrating their commitment and facing possible school (and parental?) punishment  — spotlighting the urgent need for us to all act now. 

I hope to encourage parents of school children to say what Greta’s mom and dad said to her a year ago when she started waving her protest sign in front of the Swedish parliament on Fridays: as your parents we don’t approve of your skipping school to protest, it is illegal, and against school rules, but we won’t stop you.  (They, in fact, as a family, have made healthy carbon-free changes in their food, land-use, energy and transportation choices.)

The school strike has been debated in our Drawdown East End meetings, causing near arguments.  As of now our Friday workshops at the Rogers Memorial Library in Southampton have ended.  But we continue to organize around ways we can use Paul Hawken’s Drawdown: The Most Comprehensive Plan Ever Proposed to Reverse Global Warming as a framework to promote the most effective, suitable, and economically beneficial opportunities for our communities and our families.

I admit, I’m a bit nervous thinking that the first public thing we do, what we might become known for, is advocating school strikes, rather than our in-the-works mission statement: igniting, inspiring and assisting our communities in taking action on climate change, with its cascading economic, health, and security benefits.

So I asked “shouldn’t we get some parents on board if we’re going to go public and advocate this?”  “We can’t wait!  The whole point is no one is listening, but they will listen to the kids” came the cry back at me. 

I’m thinking of Greta who gave a TED-talk last year recounting when she was 11:  she stopped eating, lost weight, sunk into depression, was unable to attend school, after she learned about irreversible global warming and saw nothing being done, only denial.  Diagnosed with Asperger’s syndrome, she now only speaks about critical issues, climate is #1, and in black-and-white terms.  Thus “we can’t change the world by playing by the rules, the rules have to be changed.  Could this be a foretelling? 

What I love about the discussions we’ve been having at Drawdown East End is they are so positive, impact-driven and can-do.  We are learning through Drawdown about the best practices and technologies that are already working to substitute, conserve and even sequester CO2 emissions.  The 100 top solutions are offered as an invitation to build, innovate and effect our change to a renewable energy future with cleaner air, better health, more involved communities, and a humming economy. 

For Greta and her #SchoolStrike4Climate I’ll be positive and impact-driven, too.   I will enthusiastically support #FridaysForFuture.  And I will also ask: 

  • Why not march to change your school into a climate-ready school through culture and curriculum? 
  • Why not pledge to do something every day, personally, with your family, friends, school, community to reverse global warming? 
  • Why not petition your school to implement a Drawdown curriculum?  drawdown.org

 

Here are some great resources:

1) Climate Change Connection What Your School Can Do https://climatechangeconnection.org/resources/climate-friendly-schools/what-to-do/

2) The EPA’s What You Can Do at School https://19january2017snapshot.epa.gov/climatechange/what-you-can-do-school_.html

3) UNESCO’s Getting climate-ready: a guide for schools on climate action https://unesdoc.unesco.org/ark:/48223/pf0000246740

Maybe you have a resource or best practice you’d like to share?

 

And, finally, April 4th-23rd.   A free, fun, friendly challenge to join — individually, with friends, as a family, as a class, as a school. 

The 21-day international Drawdown EcoChallenge is a free competition and educational program focusing on carbon reduction actions we can all take.  It starts April 4 and already over 2,000 people on 400+ teams have signed up.  

We invite you to join our local team, Drawdown East End.  

To register: https://drawdown.ecochallenge.org/teams/drawdown-east-end

For more information on Drawdown East End contact:  DrawdownEastEnd@gmail.com

Posted in climate change, Education, Environment, Paris Climate Accord | Tagged , | 6 Comments

Albany: Public Campaign Financing and More

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Fair Elections NY

There is a lot going on in Albany these days.  The New York State budget is due by April and everyone is advocating for their cause.

Fair Elections NY is one advocacy group. “Edie Falco from the Sopranos explains how lobbyist money is blocking passage of progressive issues in New York State.

Wealthy special interests like real estate, heath care industry, and Wall Street can donate mountains of money to their favorite candidates, making sure that laws are rigged in their favor.

If all candidates had the opportunity to run for office with the backing of small donors, not wealthy interests, regular people would be better represented.

Legislators in Albany are considering a proposal to limit big money and match every small donation 6-to-1 up to $175. That means a $10 donation would turn into $70, powering grassroots campaigns that represent the people and won’t be bought by special interests.”

This legislation is highly recommended by the Brennan Law Center.

You can write your legislators in Albany today and tell them to pass small donor public financing to ensure fair elections in New York!

Here is a podcast you can listen to (or read) on this subject:

Capitol Lobbying Heats Up As NYS Budget Deadline Nears

20 hours ago

It’s a busy time at the New York state Capitol, with just over one month to go until the state budget is due. Groups are bringing advocates by the hundreds to try to get their favored items placed into the spending plan. Meanwhile, there are lingering recriminations over the failed Amazon deal.

Among the groups vying for attention at a crowded state Capitol, are advocates for public campaign financing.

Democratic Governor Andrew Cuomo has put into his budget a plan that would use state funds to match small donor contributions in a seven to one ratio. If a donor gave $10, the candidate would get $70.

Jessica Wisneski, with the government reform group Citizen Action, says a report released this week by NYU’s Brennan Center illustrates why the change is needed.

“In New York State, the top 100 donors gave more to candidates than all of the estimated 137,000 small donors combined,” said Wisneski, who said small donations represented only five percent of total contributions in the 2018 election cycle.

“That is a shame,” she said.

The Assembly sponsor of a public campaign finance bill, Linda Rosenthal, says it’s a way to allow people who aren’t already wealthy to run for office, and could lessen the influence of big money donors on issues like housing.

“Landlords and big real estate have had legislators in their pockets, because they have contributed to legislator’s pockets, to their campaigns,” Rosenthal said. “And they have had the run of show here.”

Advocates are hopeful of passage. The Senate is controlled by Democrats for the first time in a decade, and several freshmen senators won their campaigns without large donations from individuals or corporations.

But some advocates say they don’t want their item to be part of the budget. They say with one party now ruling state government the items can be considered separately instead.

Criminal justice reform advocates are seeking an end to cash bail, faster court processing, and a change in discovery laws to give defendants earlier access to any evidence, or lack of evidence a prosecutor may have against them.

Nick Encalada-Malinowski, with VOCAL-NY, says in the past, policy items needed to be horse traded between the governor, Democrats in the Assembly and Republicans in the Senate. He says with Democrats leading all three offices, there’s room for more thoughtful consideration of important legislation outside of the budget.

“The details are very important. Every ‘and’, every ‘or’, makes a huge difference to the number of people who are going to be left incarcerated in New York State,” Encalada-Malinowski said. “We don’t want these bills to be in the budget where they can be traded against issues that are unrelated to them like property taxes or legislative salaries.”

Encalada-Malinowski says the measures should advance the “old-fashioned” way, with the legislature considering and approving a measure for a governor to sign or veto.

Even though the governor and members of the Senate majority are in the same party, there have been some disagreements that might make budget negotiations more difficult. Cuomo and Senate Democrats are feuding over the failure of the Amazon project in Long Island City, Queens. Amazon ended a deal to receive $3 billion worth of public funded subsidies in exchange for creating an estimated 25,000 jobs.

Senate Republicans, whose numbers are down to just 23 members out of a 63-member chamber, seized the opportunity to drive a further wedge between the Democrats. Senate Minority Leader John Flanagan says when the GOP was in power, they were better at leading and minimizing public arguments.

“What’s being played out right now, it is all their entire fault,” Flanagan said. “They blew at least 25,000 jobs.”

Flanagan says Republicans may not control the chamber, but they will use their influence to try to get a state property tax cap made permanent, a measure backed by Cuomo and some Senate Democrats, including the Senate Majority Leader. Flanagan says he’d also like to see a permanent state spending cap.

 

 

Posted in Fair elections, NYS legislature, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

President’s Day Protest

Today there were protests all across America.

Donald Trump declared a #FakeNationalEmergency, an illegal power grab from an unhinged man to push his racist, dangerous policies and his vanity wall.  After his announcement of a “national emergency” Donald left for Mar-a-lago to play some golf.

Together with about 50 protesters, I attended a rally in Bridgehampton in the rain.  Many cars passing by, honked their horns and gave us a thumbs up sign.

Take a look at this great video https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=747733232276274

Here are some pictures:

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Version 2

 

Posted in bigotry, family separations, immigration/deportation, Trump, Trump atrocities, Uncategorized, Zeldin | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

East Hampton Holocaust Survivor At School Fighting Anti-Semitism

East Hampton Holocaust Survivor At School Fighting Anti-Semitism

Photos courtesy of the Mattituck-Cutchogue School District.

 

MATTITUCK, NY — A school district that has pledged to take a strong stand in the fight against anti-Semitism welcomed a Holocaust survivor to speak to students.

As part of the district’s ongoing efforts to expand students’ awareness of cultural diversity and the importance of acceptance and inclusion, students from Mattituck Jr./Sr. High School participated in the Springs School Cultural Diversity Institute.

Students had the opportunity to deepen their understanding of cultural diversity and to engage in a meaningful dialogue on the negative impact of bias, prejudice, discrimination and stereotyping with a diverse group of community members, the district said.

Holocaust survivor Judy Sleed, who lives in East Hampton, shared the “moving and memorable” story of her past and encouraged the students to be accepting of all cultures in schools, the community and the world. Sleed lived under German occupation in Budapest, Hungary, in March, 1944, with the worst of her ordeal taking place on Oct. 20 to 24, 1944, she has said.

The Springs Union Free School District’s Diversity Institute was formed for sixth graders and their families with an eye toward focusing on tolerance and inclusion, something the Mattituck-Cutchogue Union Free School District administrators have pledged to put an increased focus upon.

Mattituck Junior-Senior High School Principal Shawn Petretti sent a letter home to parents in January discussing concerns over “several incidents that have occurred this year in regards to individual students joking about their support and admiration of Nazism and Adolf Hitler.”

There have also been incidents involving “language and acts” associated with anti-Semitism, he said, which have taken place primarily in the 7th to 10th grade population.

“We take all of these situations very seriously and have handled them as acts of bias, resulting in a combination of discipline and counseling,” he said.

With an eye toward proactive solutions, the Mattituck-Cutchogue Union Free School District has also invited the Holocaust Memorial and Education Center of Glen Cove to come to Mattituck High School later in the month to speak to students, Petretti said.

He added that he would begin immediately to have grade-level discussions with students to discuss the “impact and severity of any acts of bias” and said that any such future acts would be dealt with swiftly and in compliance with school code.

“As educators, when we see trends in negative behaviors and habits, we look to find the cause as a means of addressing the issue,” Petretti said. “One of the things we have discovered is that the recent increase in incidents of anti-Semitism is not isolated to Mattituck but is happening in junior and senior high schools across New York. Another thing we have discovered is that an app, very popular with adolescents, called TikTok, is littered with videos containing messages of pro-Nazism as well as anti-Semitism. Much of the content is targeted to children and teens and is delivered through comedic videos clearly sending the wrong message to our children,” Petretti said.

Petretti asked parents to speak to their children and explain the “harmful impact and severity of words,” so that they and the district can work together to put an end to the behavior and ensure the Mattituck Junior-Senior High School is a respectful and safe environment.

Parent Lauren Gilbert said she was happy that parents had been notified. “I think that this generation is highly unaware of the severity of these things. Whether they are learning it at home or from some social media app, I don’t believe for a second that in 2019 our middle and high school students are making foul remarks about the Holocaust and supporting Hitler while also knowing all the facts, as well as being aware of what their words and actions have the power of doing,” she said. “It’s extremely unfortunate to see some students take such a large step back in time. I hope that the disciplinary actions as well as counseling and educational actions the school is taking will have a lasting impact on the ones who need to hear it most.”

Sonia Spar, co-chair of the Southold Town Anti-Bias Task Force, said she feel it is troubling to see that disseminating hate has increasingly become mainstream and school children are using hateful and bigoted language.

“It is very important that school officials are clearly stepping up to denounce the hateful message, are bringing this situation to the attention to the entire school community and are sending the clear message that this kind of rhetoric and behavior is totally unacceptable,” Spar said. “Education and leadership are our best hope for eliminating hate. The rise in hate and anti-Semitism across New York State and in the country is of great concern. We — as a community — must do all we can to prevent that this kind of hateful language becomes normalized.”

Spar added that the ABTF, together with Greenport, Southold and Mattituck schools are coordinating a cross district peer to peer leadership anti-bias in-depth training for students in grades 7 to 11. “We believe this is a very important effort,” she said.

It’s not the first time schools on the East End have had to face anti-Semitism in recent months: In April, anti-Semitic graffiti was spray painted at Westhampton Beach High School.

A company spokesman for TikTok responded: “Hate speech is not permitted on TikTok. We make this very clear in our Terms of Service and Community Guidelines, and we remove inappropriate content and terminate accounts that violate our policies. We are committed to promoting a safe and positive app environment for our global community and there is absolutely no place for discrimination, including hate speech, on this platform. For more, please visit our Safety Center.”

(Reprinted in it’s entirety). David P

 

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First Hand Report on Immigrant Families in Tijuana

24553351168_e926311cc9_nFriendship Park, along the United States-Mexico border in San Diego–Tijuana

 

By Lisa Votino Tarrant (Southampton)

Down in Tijuana, I befriended a 5yo little girl whose family was awaiting turning themselves over to US authorities to claim asylum. All I kept thinking was how much her and Lily would be besties. Her parents and little brother slowly grew to trust me. Me and my buddy played for hours. I waited with them every morning to see if their number was called. I was both happy and sad when it wasn’t. When my little buddy saw me she ran and hugged me as tight as she could. She was mischievous and probably one of the cutest kids I have ever seen.

Then one day their number was called. My little buddy was inconsolable and honestly if I didn’t have to convince her that this was good, I would have been a mess. I finally calmed her down and told her I needed to draw a picture on her back so she could remember me. What I was actually doing was writing her parents info and phone numbers as well as their contact in the US. She asked if I could draw a heart on her hand, so I did. And then she jumped in my arms and in English whispered in my ear “I love you Lisa.” Until that moment I had no idea she spoke any english and turned to look at her mom and saw tears in her eyes. I knew she taught her how to say it to me and we will share a bond for the rest of our lives because of that one beautiful moment. I stayed with them until they were loaded into the van to be taken away. My buddy held my hand through the fence until she had to be loaded in. Her mom ran over and asked if I would find my little buddy and help her if her and her husband are deported. All I could say was I would do my best and I loved them.

ICE has a locator website. I have the entire families’ info. You cannot look up minors under 18. I have yet to find the mother or father. As of tonight, I have no way to know where they are, if they are together or separated or how any of them are doing. It keeps me up at night. When I watch Lily fall asleep, I imagine my little buddy’s mama doing the same. We are both mothers that love our children. We both want our children to be happy and safe. I have to imagine it, because thinking of it being any other way has left me vomiting. I hope one day I find them and my little buddy and Lily can have a beach day or a city trip or anything as long as they are happy and safe.

 

Originally posted on FB on February 11 at 9:35 PM

Posted in family separations, ICE, immigration/deportation, Trump atrocities, Uncategorized, Zeldin | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment