COVID-19: What is the Best Mitigation Strategy?

Interesting and thorough paper on COVID-19 disease modeling in the UK and the USA with an emphasis on analysis of each mitigation strategy (quarantine, closing schools, etc) or combination of strategies.  It is a 20-page paper.  So I am reprinting just one figure which shows that the most effective strategy to reduce the need for ICU beds is a combination of

  • Case isolation
  • home quarantine
  • social distancing for those over 70

 

Screen Shot 2020-03-18 at 12.12.49 AM

There is a lot more in this paper!

About D. Posnett MD

Emeritus Prof. of Medicine, Weill Cornell Medical College
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