Interesting and thorough paper on COVID-19 disease modeling in the UK and the USA with an emphasis on analysis of each mitigation strategy (quarantine, closing schools, etc) or combination of strategies. It is a 20-page paper. So I am reprinting just one figure which shows that the most effective strategy to reduce the need for ICU beds is a combination of
- Case isolation
- home quarantine
- social distancing for those over 70
There is a lot more in this paper!